Where will Qatar stand in the US battle for lifelines in Saudi Arabia as President Biden departs for the MENA region?

A year and a half after the election, US President Joe Biden realized he was in an enviable position.

Both domestic and foreign elements contribute to a dark position, including his party tired of the upcoming elections and the tough political battlefield. Economic turmoil in the United States. Soaring world energy prices. A brave and indifferent Russia that opposes Western forces and economic sanctions. In addition to what the United States perceives as an increasing threat to China and an increasing influence of China in the Pacific.

Trouble in paradise

Domestically, Republicans have expressed their support and are aiming to regain a majority in Congress, which is not an exaggerated scenario when looking at the US market along with past election results.

Historically, economic conditions have been crucial in elections, and current scenarios do not support incumbents.

In addition to the country’s obligation to stabilize the market and improve the situation for Americans, this US administration will have creative ideas and will be forced to make concessions for self-preservation and earning political points.

Overseas, the US government sees Europe with great concern. As shown in a recent article in The New York Times, Russia is estimated to earn over € 1 billion a day at today’s market prices.

Western sanctions are aimed at creating difficulties in international transactions for Russian companies and oligarchs and forcing traders to cooperate with the Russian government, but as a result empowering the administration, especially Russian President Vladimir Putin. I did.

In addition, sanctions have forced Russia to reduce its reliance on the outside world, diversify its assets and invest in infrastructure and independence. This will increase the approval rate of the Russian government among the Russian people.

The causality of the future may be catastrophic, as Russia completely ignores Western pressure and shows a clear failure of sanctions.

Small and weak countries will now hesitate when it comes to completely succumbing to US interests and accepting US protection guarantees.

Countries such as China will not consider the impact in expanding the influence of the region, and more countries will look to other ways for defense assurance and self-preservation.

This is where Biden’s visit to the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia is important.

Strengthen US dominance

Biden outlined a wide range of agendas in a recent editorial, summarizing his intentions to persuade Saudi Arabia to increase oil production and to persuade the GCC to warm up relations with Israel.

These topics may be on the agenda, but the main reason for this visit is to maintain US global hegemony and ensure that the United States remains a global superpower. I have.

Before this visit, we’ll look at two important events. The first event was that Biden violently campaigned to keep Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman out and did not officially engage with him. The second was a meeting between Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov and senior government officials of the GCC delegation, praising Russia and OPEC +’s cooperation.

As shown in a recent article by Reuters, French President Emmanuel Macron also supports the idea that energy production is not the basis for Biden’s visit.

The US President’s visit to the Kingdom seems like a clear concession, and his administration is looking for a lifeline.

This comes in the form of persuading Saudi Arabia to increase oil production. Lobbying for structures where GCC, the United States, and Israel can have a shared alliance or defense framework to deter Iran. But more importantly, it is to strengthen US control to prevent countries in the region from drifting from US allies to Russia and, inevitably, China.

Know what the US government should ask and think about what they can offer.

Saudi Arabia may seek additional military assistance in Yemen, modern defense and weapons agreements, and guarantees that Iran will obtain nuclear weapons or pretend to be a viable threat to nuclear weapons.

What is Qatar’s interest in this?

Qatar has fallen into a difficult situation and has skillfully cultivated strong ties with countries around the world. This often includes the other side of global conflict.

The Gulf countries maintain a neutral position with Russia, choose not to participate in sanctions, maintain neutral diplomatic relations, call the Russian war a “crisis”, a “situation”, and peace. Seeking political dialogue.

Doha also worked with Iran in various areas, supported by Tehran during the blockade of the Gulf Cooperation Council, and strongly supported nuclear negotiations between Iran and the world’s major powers. We maintain a warm relationship.

Most recently, Doha hosted the first round of negotiations to help initiate negotiations between opposing political parties after months of stalemate in Vienna.

Qatar also maintains a consistent position on Israeli occupation of Palestine, supporting Palestinian rights and illegal Israeli settlements in addition to implementing numerous humanitarian programs in occupied Palestine. We are calling on the international community to prevent this.

While these can be a source of concern, Qatar has cemented its position as a diplomatic power and is not particularly forced to make concessions in its current position as the US government.

However, Qatar’s relations with the United States go beyond these issues, and Doha is preparing itself as a destination for international sports tourism after the World Cup, as well as being a major power in international and soft diplomacy. , There is support from the United States. Required.

Qatar may also seek US assurance for both internal security and enhanced defense capabilities in the light of recent events in the region.

From 2022, the Gulf countries aim to ensure peace of mind so that they can focus on policies such as LNG production, promotion of tourism, and attracting additional foreign investment and technology partnerships.

The state is already stepping up transactions with various US entities to provide logistics and support during the World Cup.

But over time, we’ll see how influential the United States, especially the Biden administration, is in the region, and how willing the GCC go for them.

Zaid Al-Hamdan Is the chairman of Armasite, a political consulting firm and a member of the Doha-based Armasite Group.

The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the official policies or positions of Doha News, its editorial board or staff.

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